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​Impact Forecasting Revealed

​London, UK and Zurich, Switzerland

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1 July 2014 - 3 July 2014
In the quest to better grasp catastrophe risk, model miss and uncertainty, the suite of solutions from Impact Forecasting is in the spotlight more than ever. With a host of new tools for catastrophe modellers, we welcome the opportunity at our 2014 conference to introduce new catastrophe models and take you behind the scenes of our ELEMENTS transparent and customizable platform.
The event is targeted at catastrophe risk managers, modellers and technical experts at insurers and reinsurers across EMEA.
Watch the conference highlights video: Triggering an evolution in catastrophe modelling
Download the slides and watch the presentation videos
Welcome - Adam Podlaha​
Catastrophe Insight - Steve Bowen​
Exploring European Windstorm
Why we need another European windstorm model - Marie-Laure Fandeur/ Kirsten Mitchell-Wallace

Introducing our new model - Alexandros Georgiadis​

Clustering: global climate models for a more accurate view - Mark Reyers​
see above​
Real examples of vulnerability customisation - Patrick Daniell​
see above​
Well-timed validation: 2013/2014 season - Radovan Drinka​​
see above
Live ELEMENTS demonstration - Adam Podlaha​
Changing the way we look at risk
ELEMENTS 9: what's new and live demonstration - Nehal Naik​
Case 1: ELEMENTS in practice - Henry Bovy/Guillaume Pousse
Case 2: ELEMENTS runs third party models - Justin Butler/David Martin​
Case 3: Hazard and risk data for underwriting - Lester Pierre​
Model innovation
New aspects of earthquake model development - Goran Trendafiloski​
Flood modelling from a different angle - Petr Puncochar​
Human risk vs. natural peril modelling - Mark Lynch​
Scenario model vote revealed: methods and results - Radovan Drinka​
Breakout sessions
Stream 1: ELEMENTS
A thousand ways to create your own view of risk​ - Nehal Naik & Will Skinner
Demystifying uncertainty in catastrophe modelling​ - Tessa Moulton/ Dean Roberts/ Radek Solnicky
How to easily implement new models​ - Chris Ewing
Catastrophe model testing for Solvency II ​- Sarka Cerna
Stream 2: New models and approaches
Anatomy of a Realistic Disaster Scenario (RDS) model​ - Adityam Krovvidi
Terrorism modelling: step by step development - Mark Lynch and Danielle Smith​
New flood models for US and Canada - Siamak Daneshvaran & Petr Puncochar​



Deeper insights into the validation of the European windstorm model - Alexandros Georgiadis​
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